Volkswagen Q3 profit tumbles, signaling more woes for global automakers

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Volkswagen (VWAGY) reported lackluster third quarter results on Wednesday, another sign large automakers are mired with softening global demand and competition from Chinese automakers.

For Q3, Volkswagen reported operating profit that slid 42% to 2.86 billion euros ($3.1 billion), though revenue only fell 0.5%. More worrisome was the operating margin falling to 3.6%, down from 6.2% a year ago, with global deliveries down 8.3% to 2.12 million vehicles.

Volkswagen, which counts Audi, Bentley, and Porsche among its brands, as well as Skoda and Scania in Europe, is struggling with high production costs and softening demand. And in China, its joint ventures are under pressure from domestic automakers like BYD (BYD) and Li Auto (LI).

Results year to date “reflect a challenging market environment and underline the importance of delivering on the performance programs we have launched across the Group,” Arno Antlitz, Volkswagen Group CFO and COO, said in a statement.

“Volkswagen Brand reported an operating margin of only 2% after nine months. This highlights the urgent need for significant cost reductions and efficiency gains,” he said.

Volkswagen maintained its 2024 full-year guidance, which was cut just last month. VW said it expects net cash flow from automotive operations to be around 2 billion euros, down from 2.5 billion to 4.5 billion euros previously, with revenue falling by 0.7% to 320 billion euros ($356.7 billion)

Volkswagen also maintained its profit margin forecast of around 5.6% in 2024, down from the prior 6.5%-7% estimate.

NEW YORK, UNITED STATES - MARCH 27: Volkswagen ID.Buzz is displayed during the New York International Auto Show 2024, where automobile manufacturers introduce their newest models to the world, in New York, United States on March 27, 2024. (Photo by Fatih Aktas/Anadolu via Getty Images)
Volkswagen ID.Buzz is displayed during the New York International Auto Show 2024, where automobile manufacturers introduce their newest models to the world, on March 27, 2024. (Fatih Aktas/Anadolu via Getty Images) · Anadolu via Getty Images

In China, sales fell 12% year over year, reflecting weakening demand for its products versus competitors. To shore up its China operations, VW said earlier this year that it would partner with China’s XPeng (XPEV) to produce two new electric vehicles with Volkswagen branding, powered by XPeng’s software and EV engineering.

Volkswagen's premium brand Audi also announced this year that it had signed a deal with China's state-owned SAIC to develop new EVs for the mainland.

Bank of America analyst Horst Schneider believes VW is selling EVs at a loss in China until its new EVs designed by XPeng arrive.

“Volkswagen is [selling EVs at a loss] because they say we have a new China strategy in place, which is called 'In China for China,'” Schneider wrote in a note to investors earlier this month. “They want to implement that into the first vehicles in 2026/27, and by '26/'27 Volkswagen somehow needs to survive in the market, and that means they accept basically losses … And then [by 2027] they try to gain some market share [with new EVs].”