We recently compiled a list of the Michael Burry's Top 10 Stock Picks Heading into 2025.In this article, we are going to take a look at where Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) stands against Michael Burry's other stock picks.
Established in May 2013, Scion Asset Management is a renowned and well-regarded California-based hedge fund founded by Michael Burry. The investment management firm focuses on long-term capital appreciation via fundamental research. The company targets undervalued or misunderstood investment opportunities globally. Michael Burry, a renowned figure in the financial world, shot to fame after his accurate predictions during the 2008 financial crisis. The hedge fund manager has a bachelor's degree in economics from the University of California, Los Angeles. Also, he pursued an M.D. from Vanderbilt University School of Medicine.
After Michael Burry founded Scion Capital and predicted the late 2000s housing bubble burst, he rolled out Scion Asset Management in 2013, rebranding the prior fund.
Michael Burry Goes Long on China
As of now, Michael Burry remains optimistic about the Chinese economy, with Scion Asset Management significantly investing in renowned and well-established Chinese companies. Over the past few weeks, the Chinese stock market has seen a significant rally, with the Hang Seng Index increasing by ~17% and the SSE Composite Index rising by more than ~18% over the past month. Market experts believe that these increases primarily stemmed from the stimulus measures announced by the government.
As per the hedge fund's 13F filing for the quarter that ended June 30, Michael Burry significantly increased his ownership in the Chinese tech companies, while liquidating his investments in gold and other companies belonging to solar, energy, and other sectors. The renowned investor also entered several new positions in sectors such as financial services, healthcare, beauty, and real estate industries. Over the past few weeks, there has been growing optimism about the Chinese economy.
BBVA Research believes that the Chinese economy has been witnessing structural rebalancing amid adjustments in real estate. Thanks to the large-scale stimulus package, the company expects that the economy will bottom out in the near term. Moving forward, the firm believes that the US and Europe's rate cut cycle offers policy room for China's easing measures. As and when the large China-US rate reversion sees normalization, there can be increased capital inflows and stronger RMB.
The prolonged rebound in China after the COVID-19 pandemic, offset by other sectors such as manufacturing and real estate, significantly dragged down China's stock valuations, making it attractive for investors.
Peeking into Michael Burry's Concentrated Portfolio
'Big Short' investor's noteworthy move in Q2 2024 was a significant rise in his stake in a Chinese e-commerce giant. This stock is now the largest holding of the portfolio. Even though the Chinese regulatory landscape continues to evolve, it is demonstrating signs of easing. Therefore, market experts opine that this can help create a more favorable environment for Chinese technology companies.
Beyond e-commerce, the hedge fund manager's Q2 2024 portfolio focuses on strategic allocation throughout varied sectors. Scion Asset Management appears to be going long on the payment processing sector also. Since the investment firm has a diversified portfolio, experts believe that the company is well-placed to navigate any short-term economic headwinds.
Our Methodology
To list Michael Burry's Top 10 Stock Picks Heading into 2025, we sifted through Scion Asset Management’s latest 13F Holdings. From the list, we selected the top 10 stock picks, and the same are ranked in ascending order of the fund’s stakes in them.
At Insider Monkey we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
An e-commerce platform displaying a wide range of products to customers online.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA)’s core e-commerce business is the bright spot, which should continue to strengthen its competitive positioning. Moving forward, the company’s strong brand recognition, ecosystem diversity, and market reach should continue to act as primary tailwinds. The investments in international commerce demonstrate Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA)’s ambition to improve its global footprint. Its strategy targets to replicate domestic success in overseas markets.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) has been positioning itself for future growth with the help of new initiatives in advertising and technology services. Its new advertising platform continues to gain traction, with Wall Street anticipating it to contribute significantly to revenue growth. Furthermore, the platform demonstrates a strategic move to diversify revenue streams and capitalize on Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA)’s vast user base.
The introduction of new technology service fees should fuel the company’s financial performance. These fees, together with the advertising platform, can result in re-acceleration in Customer Management Revenue (CMR) growth.
Analysts at Bank of America upped their price target on the shares of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) from $106.00 to $124.00, giving a “Buy” rating on 9th October. Oakmark Funds, advised by Harris Associates, released its third-quarter 2024 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:
“Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) was the top contributor during the quarter. The China-headquartered consumer discretionary company’s stock price rallied following the announcement of a multipronged stimulus package by the Chinese government. Despite the stock’s strong performance for the quarter, we continue to believe there is upside in the name and that the market is not fully pricing in the turnaround potential for the e-commerce business or other optionality the company possesses.”
Overall BABA ranks 1st on our list of Michael Burry's top stock picks. While we acknowledge the potential of BABA as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than BABA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
