MeiraGTx Holdings plc (NASDAQ:MGTX) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals.

Following the upgrade, the most recent consensus for MeiraGTx Holdings from its three analysts is for revenues of US$70m in 2024 which, if met, would be a huge increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Losses are supposed to balloon 34% to US$1.55 per share. Yet prior to the latest estimates, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$56m and losses of US$1.76 per share in 2024. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a sizeable increase to their revenue forecasts while also reducing the estimated loss as the business grows towards breakeven.

See our latest analysis for MeiraGTx Holdings

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of US$21.20, implying that their latest estimates don't have a long term impact on what they think the stock is worth.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that MeiraGTx Holdings' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 10x annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 11% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that MeiraGTx Holdings is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The highlight for us was that the consensus reduced its estimated losses this year, perhaps suggesting MeiraGTx Holdings is moving incrementally towards profitability. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. Some investors might be disappointed to see that the price target is unchanged, but we feel that improving fundamentals are usually a positive - assuming these forecasts are met! So MeiraGTx Holdings could be a good candidate for more research.

These earnings upgrades look like a sterling endorsement, but before diving in - you should know that we've spotted 2 potential risk with MeiraGTx Holdings, including a short cash runway. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about this and the 1 other risk we've identified .