Even though Castle Biosciences, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CSTL) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

View our latest analysis for Castle Biosciences

Zooming In On Castle Biosciences' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Castle Biosciences has an accrual ratio of -0.17 for the year to September 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of US$35m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of US$6.08m. Notably, Castle Biosciences had negative free cash flow last year, so the US$35m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Castle Biosciences' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Castle Biosciences' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Castle Biosciences' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And it's also positive that the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Castle Biosciences as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Castle Biosciences (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us).