Despite delivering investors losses of 50% over the past 5 years, Integrated Diagnostics Holdings (LON:IDHC) has been growing its earnings
In This Article:
This week we saw the Integrated Diagnostics Holdings plc (LON:IDHC) share price climb by 18%. But that can't change the reality that over the longer term (five years), the returns have been really quite dismal. Indeed, the share price is down 62% in the period. So is the recent increase sufficient to restore confidence in the stock? Not yet. But it could be that the fall was overdone.
On a more encouraging note the company has added US$36m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
See our latest analysis for Integrated Diagnostics Holdings
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
While the share price declined over five years, Integrated Diagnostics Holdings actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 3.8% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 18% a year in the five year period. So it seems one might have to take closer look at the fundamentals to understand why the share price languishes. After all, there may be an opportunity.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. If you are thinking of buying or selling Integrated Diagnostics Holdings stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
A Dividend Lost
The share price return figures discussed above don't include the value of dividends paid previously, but the total shareholder return (TSR) does. In some ways, TSR is a better measure of how well an investment has performed. Over the last 5 years, Integrated Diagnostics Holdings generated a TSR of -50%, which is, of course, better than the share price return. Although the company had to cut dividends, it has paid cash to shareholders in the past.