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Inghams Group Limited (ASX:ING) has announced that on 9th of October, it will be paying a dividend ofA$0.08, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. The dividend yield of 6.5% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.
View our latest analysis for Inghams Group
Inghams Group's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Inghams Group's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 29% of free cash flows. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 27.3% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 59%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Inghams Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Inghams Group has been paying dividends for a while, but the track record isn't stellar. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was A$0.052, compared to the most recent full-year payment of A$0.20. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 18% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's not great to see that Inghams Group's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 4.2% per year over the past five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
Our Thoughts On Inghams Group's Dividend
Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Inghams Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.