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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Radius Residential Care Limited (NZSE:RAD) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 62% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, considering around half the companies operating in New Zealand's Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider Radius Residential Care as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Radius Residential Care
How Radius Residential Care Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Radius Residential Care recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Radius Residential Care will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Radius Residential Care, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Radius Residential Care?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Radius Residential Care would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 16% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 37% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 9.4% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Radius Residential Care's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Radius Residential Care's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Radius Residential Care revealed its three-year revenue trends looking similar to current industry expectations hasn't given the P/S the boost we expected, given that it's lower than the wider industry P/S, There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching the company's performance. revenue trends suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a possibility of revenue volatility in the future.