It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy NZME Limited (NZSE:NZM) For Its Next Dividend

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Readers hoping to buy NZME Limited (NZSE:NZM) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Therefore, if you purchase NZME's shares on or after the 12th of September, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 25th of September.

The company's upcoming dividend is NZ$0.0352941 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of NZ$0.09 per share to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that NZME has a trailing yield of 9.1% on the current share price of NZ$0.99. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether NZME can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

See our latest analysis for NZME

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. NZME paid out 136% of profit in the past year, which we think is typically not sustainable unless there are mitigating characteristics such as unusually strong cash flow or a large cash balance. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether NZME generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It paid out more than half (51%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's good to see that while NZME's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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NZSE:NZM Historic Dividend September 7th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're not enthused to see that NZME's earnings per share have remained effectively flat over the past five years. It's better than seeing them drop, certainly, but over the long term, all of the best dividend stocks are able to meaningfully grow their earnings per share.