(Bloomberg) -- Oil pared gains after President Joe Biden sought to discourage Israel from attacking Iran’s oil fields.
Most Read from Bloomberg
-
Singapore Ends 181 Years of Horse Racing to Make Way for Homes
-
From Cleveland to Chicago, NFL Teams Dream of Domed Stadiums
-
For a Master of Brutalist Provocations, a Modest Museum Appraisal
-
Mexico City Restricts Airbnb Rentals to Curb ‘Gentrification’
Listen to the Bloomberg Daybreak Europe podcast on Apple, Spotify or anywhere you listen.
West Texas Intermediate rose 0.9% to settle above $74 a barrel on Friday, after earlier surging as much as 2.5%. The advance faded after Biden told reporters at the White House, regarding Israeli’s potential retaliation against Iran for its recent missile strike, “If I were in their shoes I would think of other alternatives than attacking oil fields.”
Crude still soared 9.1% this week — the biggest weekly advance since March 2023 — as the escalation of hostilities raises the possibility of disruption to Middle East oil supplies. While Israel and Iran, as well as Tehran’s proxies in Lebanon, Gaza and Yemen, have been facing off for the past year, this week’s flare-up is stoking fears of an all-out conflict that could drag in other countries.
“While probabilities for worst-case scenarios are very low, everyone is still biting nails for what will happen in the coming days as we await the retaliatory attack by Israel on Iran,” said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB AB.
Iran fired a barrage of missiles into Israel earlier this week after Israel stepped up its offensive against Tehran-backed Hezbollah, including by sending troops into southern Lebanon. The Group of Seven nations has called on countries in the region to “act responsibly and with restraint.”
The Middle East accounts for about a third of the world’s crude supply. Iran has been pumping about 3.3 million barrels a day in recent months, making it the No. 3 producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Citigroup Inc. has estimated that a major strike by Israel on Iran’s export capacity could take 1.5 million barrels of daily supply off the market. If Israel struck minor infrastructure, 300,000 to 450,000 barrels may be lost.
There’s also concern that Tehran might raise the stakes by targeting energy infrastructure in neighboring states or supply routes such as the critical Strait of Hormuz. Clearview Energy Partners said an interruption of flows through the waterway at the mouth of the Persian Gulf could drive crude $13 to $28 a barrel higher.