Q3 2024 Zillow Group Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Bradley Berning; Vice President, Investor Relations; Zillow Group Inc

Jeremy Wacksman; Chief Executive Officer; Zillow Group Inc

Jeremy Hofmann; Chief Financial Officer; Zillow Group Inc

John Colantuoni; Analyst; Jefferies

Bradley Erickson; Analyst; RBC Capital Markets

Mark Mahaney; Analyst; Evercore ISI

Nicholas Jones; Analyst; JMP Securities

Chris Kuntarich; Analyst; UBS

Michael Ng; Analyst; Goldman Sachs

John Campbell; Analyst; Stephens

Ryan McKeveny; Analyst; Zelman & Associates

Presentation

Operator

Hello, and welcome to Zillow's third-quarter 2024 financial results call. (Operator Instructions)
Also as a reminder, this conference is being recorded today. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. Brad, you may begin.

Bradley Berning

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to Zillow Group's third-quarter 2024 call. Joining me today to discuss our results are Zillow Group's CEO, Jeremy Wacksman; and CFO, Jeremy Hoffman.
During today's call, we will make forward-looking statements about our future performance and operating plans based on expectations and assumptions. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and we encourage you to consider the risk factors described in our SEC filings for additional information.
We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events, except as required by law. This call is being broadcast on the Internet and is accessible on our Investor Relations website. A recording of the call will be available later today.
During the call, we will discuss GAAP and non-GAAP measures, including adjusted EBITDA, which we refer to as EBITDA. We encourage you to read our shareholder letter and earnings release, which can be found on our Investor Relations website, as they contain important information about our GAAP and non-GAAP results, including reconciliations of historical non-GAAP financial measures. We will now open the call with remarks followed by live Q&A.
And with that, I will turn the call over to Jeremy Wacksman.

Jeremy Wacksman

Thank you, Brad, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us during a busy time of year. We're excited to share our third-quarter 2024 results with you. With Zillow's leading brand, deep technology expertise and strong financial foundation we are successfully seizing our incredible opportunity to transform and digitize residential real estate on behalf of consumers, agents and the broader industry. As you will hear again today, we are in a strong position, executing our strategy well and delivering solid results. In Q3, we grew revenue by 17% and outperformed the residential real estate industry, all while demonstrating cost discipline as we steer towards sustainable, profitable growth.
As with everything we do at Zillow, our approach begins with the customers we serve, movers, agents, and real estate industry professionals. We invest in providing products and services that offer a superior end-to-end transaction experience. This creates a top-of-funnel advantage that helps us identify and connect high-intent movers with high-performing partners. And alongside our software tools, this drives increased connection rates and conversion rates resulting in greater revenue.
And as we continue to leverage our cost structure, our consistent route performance shows up as expanded EBITDA margins. Those outcomes bolster our continued confidence in our strategy.
Before I dive further into our results, I'll remind you why we believe Zillow is best positioned to succeed in our ever-evolving industry. As we have said consistently throughout the past year, our perspective is grounded in Zillow's consumer advocacy principles. We believe in easy and free access to all available real estate information and listings. Independent representation for buyers and sellers and transparency regarding agent compensation and consumers' right to negotiate it.
We launched Zillow with a promise to turn on the lights in real estate, because we believe everyone benefits from transparency, an open free marketplace is good for sellers, good for buyers, good for agents, and makes for the robust industry we have here in the US. And as the industry has undergone its recent very healthy evolution toward more transparency, we are confident that Zillow and agents who work with us will benefit.
This is clear to us for three reasons. First, Zillow has the most and highest intent movers. More than two-thirds of US homebuyers use Zillow today. About 80% of our users come to us organically, and we have 3 times more app users than anyone else in the category. We've built and maintained a strong brand position by staying focused on what the customer wants and needs, delivering impressive and delightful tech innovations that improve their moving experience.
This quarter, for example, we've launched helpful new features like comprehensive climate risk data, tools to help agents, loan officers and movers streamline their communications and upgrades to our AI-powered natural language search.
The second reason is that we partner with top agents and teams across the country. Those that offer superior customer service and real value for movers, a deep understanding of the industry and their local market and a proven ability to scale. These are the agents who are the most successful at growing their business alongside us and are poised to take customer share.
Third, we expect to benefit as the industry evolves because we provide exceptional tech solutions to make moving more efficient, not just for movers, but for agents, brokers, loan officers, and other real estate professionals as well. We believe a rising digital tide lifts all boats. Zillow's independent software solutions like showing time, dotloop, Bridge Interactive and Follow Up Boss are already used by hundreds of thousands of professionals across the residential real estate industry.
Our opportunity is to expand the breadth of those offerings and stitch them together, powering the industry to be more transparent, faster and more integrated. Considering all the professionals we are already serving today with our digital workflow tools and foundational technologies, we believe this represents a significant opportunity for Zillow to better serve customers and drive transactions within Zillow's ecosystem.
It's solutions like these, combined with our many products and services for movers that together make Zillow a housing super app, giving buyers, sellers, agents and the industry, the seamless, integrated and tech-enabled experience they demand and deserve.
Now on to our third-quarter 2024 results. I'm excited to share that we reported total revenue of $581 million in Q3, up 17% year over year, exceeding our revenue outlook and outperforming the residential real estate industry.
Q3 residential revenue grew 12% year over year to $405 million. Rentals momentum continued with $123 million in revenue in Q3, up 24% year over year. Multifamily rentals revenue is up 38% year over year, driven by growth in our multifamily property count.
We're also making strong progress in mortgages. Q3 revenue was $39 million, accelerating to 63% year over year growth compared to 42% growth in Q2 with our purchased loan origination volume up 80% year over year.
We are delivering strong revenue performance while growing our engaged audience of users. For Q3, we reported 233 million average monthly unique users across Zillow's ecosystem of apps and sites, according to our internal metrics. And 116 million average monthly unique visitors in Q3 according to Comscore. As you'll recall, Comscore is widely viewed among Internet brands as a reliable, transparent third-party source because it aims to capture the number of unique visitors while deduping cookies.
Our success is the result of solid execution on our growth strategy. On the for-sale side of our business, we're anchored by efforts in integrating our services financing, touring, seller solutions, and enhancing our partner network. These investments are propelling us toward our goal to increase customer transaction share to 6% by the end of 2025.
We're also focused on expanding our rentals marketplace, which currently represents more than 20% of our revenue and is growing rapidly. The seamless transaction experience we've been building out on Zillow, the housing super app is most fully experienced by customers in our enhanced markets. We've rolled out 43 enhanced markets thus far surpassing our goal of reaching 40 by the end of this year.
Heading into 2025, we expect to deepen our penetration in the existing markets and expand into more markets. We've been pleased with the progress we're making across the enhanced markets with this land and expand strategy, and we continue to expect enhanced markets to cover 20% of our connections by the end of this year.
As of Q3, more than 80% of enhanced market connections are being managed through Follow Up Boss, an industry-leading customer relationship management system we acquired about a year ago. Follow Up Boss is used by many real estate agents and teams and manages 25 million leads each year. Our efforts to upgrade and integrate it are a key part of the housing Super App experience we're building.
For example, in Q3, we introduced new features, including piloting an app messaging to allow agents to communicate with buyers on Zillow, an in-app option to connect buyers directly to a loan officer with Zillow Home Loans and new and improved client insights, allowing agents to tailor their services to an individual clients' needs and interests.
When the customer, agent, loan officer and other services are all connected through a common platform, movers have a more seamless experience and real estate professionals can work more efficiently and serve their clients better. Overall, we're excited that our efforts in enhanced markets are beginning to deliver results.
In February, we told you our first foreign enhanced markets had seen share gains of more than 50% since the beginning of 2023. Then in August, we told you it had risen to more than 80%. Now, it has doubled since the beginning of 2023, and we are seeing similar trends in the enhanced markets we've launched since.
As we land and expand in more enhanced markets and keep working across the business to increase connection and conversion rates, we expect to see share growth relative to the industry total transaction value, or TTV, in our residential and mortgages revenue. As you can see in the chart in our shareholder letter, our revenue per TTV has increased meaningfully over the past two years, a great proof point that our investments are having an impact on our business.
Moving on to financing. We are building a substantial direct-to-consumer purchase mortgage origination business, integrated with our agent partner network to offer the many mortgage seekers on Zillow financing options at the right point in their moving journey.
40% of all homebuyers start their home shopping journey looking for a mortgage, and more than 80% of those buyers don't yet have an agent. So when a high-intent customer comes to Zillow, whether they're starting with financing or starting by touring a property and being connected with a great agent, we can help. Providing a more seamless experience for movers, agents and loan officers helps identify high-intent customers in our funnel and drives conversion and revenue growth.
Most notably, our efforts are accelerating mortgage growth. Our origination revenue is beginning to scale with purchased loan origination volume up 80% year over year in Q3 and mortgages revenue up 63% year over year to $39 million. In enhanced markets we've been in for more than six months, customer adoption rates for Zillow home loans are in the mid-teens, with newer markets trending similarly.
At the same time, we're seeing higher transaction conversion rates for agent partners working with customers who choose Zillow Home Loans, as we help agents and loan officers better serve customers together when they're ready to transact.
We're also seeing an impact from our efforts to make booking a home tour as seamless as booking a restaurant reservation online. As we work to help more Zillow visitors transact, touring remains a critical focus area for us, both so we can identify high-intent buyers; and so we can solve a process that's historically been full of friction, busy work and back and forth.
In 2021, we acquired ShowingTime, the industry leader in home touring technology, which facilitates 5 million showings a month across the country. Bringing ShowingTime on to Zillow's tech-enabled platform has uniquely positioned us to remove the friction and touring helping high-intent buyers to our homes with ease and freeing up agents' time to focus on value-added services for movers.
Our investments here are delivering improved connection rates. And today, more than 25% of our connections are coming through the digitized, improved real-time touring experience, which is contributing to residential revenue outperformance.
Meanwhile, our consumer-friendly touring agreement is helping agents adopt the new requirements stemming from the National Association of Realtors settlement and is connecting them with higher intent buyers who are more likely to take a tour. While agents aren't required to use our Touring Agreement, it is available for more than 90% of our tour connections and is tailored by state.
Our Touring Agreement process is automated, digital and easy to use, setting a gold standard for the industry. This is an example of how we've adapted alongside the industry in a way that is positively evolving our business.
We're also investing in seller solutions that not only make selling a home easier, but also create real value for sellers and their agents. We're particularly excited about Zillow Showcase, which we made available nationwide beginning this year.
As you'll remember, Zillow Showcase elevates agents brand presence on Zillow and provides a better shopping experience through our homegrown, AI-powered, rich media and floor plan technologies. There is truly nothing else like it on the market. Showcase listings are driving higher engagement compared to similar non-show case listings on Zillow, more views, more shares and more saves.
Most important, however, is that Showcase listings are selling faster and for more money than similar non-Showcase listings on our site. Zillow Showcase is already on nearly 1.5% of new for-sale listings nationwide, putting us on our way to achieving our intermediate-term goal of 5% to 10% listing coverage on Zillow.
cAs we've said before, we believe a rising digital tide lifts all boats, which is why we continue to look for ways to improve and expand our offerings for the benefit of the broader residential real estate industry, whether through buying, building or partnering.
For example, last month, we acquired Virtual Staging AI, a company whose technology helps sellers, agents and photographers create digitally staged listing images in seconds. And in October, we announced an agreement to share Zillow 3D home tours and interactive floor plans to Realtor.com, helping agents easily provide our leading immersive virtual content to more home shoppers.
Finally, I'll update you on our continued progress in rentals. As you know from our investor presentation six months ago, we've spent the past several years building a highly differentiated two-sided marketplace with a comprehensive suite of listings, combining multifamily properties with unique long-tail properties, which we define as fewer than 25 units but primarily comprises single-family homes.
As a result, Zillow is rapidly becoming the nationwide marketplace renters and landlords have sorely needed. And as we've said, we're in the best position to fix the fragmented rental experience because our many years of success building great products for our massive audience of movers on the for-sale side.
Renters on Zillow can shop, tour, apply, sign a lease and pay rent securely. And property managers can list, book tours, screen applicants, create leases, and sign them electronically and collect rent payments all on one convenient platform, Zillow. These efforts to create a more seamless and convenient experience on both sides of the rental process are paying off, yielding growth in traffic, multifamily property count, and revenue.
Our multifamily advertising campaign and our ongoing partnership to share rental listings with Realtor.com are also helping boost our success by contributing to increased customer awareness of Zillow Rentals. In Q3, our total average monthly rentals unique visitors were up 20% according to Comscore.
We continue to expect multifamily to be the main engine of rentals revenue growth. We now have 47,000 multifamily properties on Zillow, having added close to 10,000 year to date and multifamily revenue was up 38% year over year.
As it stands today, with the combination of both long tail and multifamily properties, we have the most rental listings in the country and consequently, the most users. With steady growth under our belts, we believe Zillow Rentals is well on its way towards the $1 billion-plus revenue opportunity we see in front of us.
Across the entire business, I'm proud of the progress we're making to improve the experience of getting home. We have a much loved and trusted brand with the largest, most engaged audience of movers, a partner network made up of some of the best, and most productive agents and teams in the country, a solid financial foundation and deep tech expertise that allows us to invest in software solutions to benefit movers in the entire industry. Our business is increasingly diversified, and we've continued to outperform the industry while maintaining strong cost discipline.
Looking ahead, we're focused on capturing a more meaningful share of the $30 billion accessible TAM in residential real estate while continuing to deliver on behalf of our customers and shareholders.
Thank you, as always, for being on this journey with us. And on that note, I'll hand the mic over to CFO, Jeremy Hofmann.