Hamza Shaban
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Stock market today: US stocks rise as Fed-favored PCE inflation print hits the mark
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US stocks climbed during afternoon trading on Friday, poised to end a wobbly week on a high note as the latest reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge bolstered rate-cut hopes.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) lost 0.2%, moving down from the record close notched on Thursday. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) ticked up 0.1%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) increased 0.3%.
Stocks are taking a mostly upbeat tone going into the end of the month, with recession fears and the early-August rout in the rear-view mirror and a long-awaited start to Fed easing just ahead.
Wall Street welcomed the update on the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which showed prices increased in line with expectations in July. "Core" inflation — which strips out food and energy prices — rose 0.2% month-on-month, as expected. The annual rate came in at 2.6%, matching June's level and undershooting the 2.7% forecast.
PCE inflation levels are closely tracked by the Fed and so are watched closely in turn by investors to calibrate the size and pace of interest rate cuts this year. After Chair Jerome Powell last week made it clear a pivot can be expected in September, bets on 0.5% cut have mounted amid signs of strength in the economy. The steady level of price pressures in July kept a 0.25% move lower in play.
Meanwhile, investors are moving on from the Nvidia (NVDA) earnings watch that held markets in thrall this week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite are on track for weekly losses after choppy trading action as techs struggled.
Chipmaker Intel (INTC) is considering splitting off its foundry and other options as the rival to Nvidia tries to stem losses. Its stock gained close to 9% in afternoon trading.
Elsewhere in tech, Dell (DELL) shares roughly 5% after the hardware maker lifted its annual profit and revenue forecasts, thanks to demand for its Nvidia-powered AI servers.
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Stocks mostly rise in afternoon trading
US stocks climbed during afternoon trading on Friday, although the momentum pulled back some from earlier in the day as latest reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge bolstered rate-cut hopes.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) lost 0.2%, moving down from the record close notched on Thursday. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) ticked up 0.1%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) increased 0.3%.
A 'Goldilocks' PCE reading keeps Fed on track for September cut
A fresh reading on inflation Friday keeps the Federal Reserve on track to cut interest rates in September, reports Yahoo Finance's Jennifer Schonberger.
The annual change in the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — the so-called core Personal Consumption Expenditures index — clocked in better than expected at 2.6% for the month of July, unchanged from June. Economists had expected 2.7%.
The month-over-month change in the measure, which strips out the costs of food and energy, held steady from June at 0.2%.
"This is as Goldilocks as it gets for PCE," said Jamie Cox, managing partner of Harris Financial Group. "The consumer remains strong and disinflation is clear in the data."
Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial, said the new PCE print provides more proof to Fed officials who wanted to see additional confirmation of slowing inflation following hotter-than-expected readings in the first quarter.
It "should assuage concerns that the overall downward trajectory has stalled or inched higher," she said.
Fed Chair Jay Powell made clear last week that the central bank is poised to begin its rate cutting cycle, saying in a speech that "the time has come for policy to adjust."
Stocks trending in morning trading
Here are some of the stocks leading Yahoo Finance’s trending tickers page during morning trading on Friday:
Dell (DELL): Shares of the technology company rose in 2% in morning trading on Friday after posting better-than-expected second quarter results and raising its full-year outlook. Dell also benefited from the development around AI, with increased demand for its servers.
Alibaba (BABA): The Chinese e-commerce giant rose nearly 3% Friday at the conclusion of a three-year regulatory process. The update comes after the company was hit with a multibillion-dollar antitrust fine by China’s State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) in 2021 for monopolistic practices.
Intel (INTC): Shares of the chipmaker gained 7% Friday morning following a report that the company is considering splitting off its foundry and other options as the rival to Nvidia tries to stem losses. The reported discussions follow a harsh earnings report from earlier this month that spooked investors. Overall, the stock is down over 50% so far this year.
Ulta (ULTA): The beauty store chain sank nearly 3% after posting second quarter results that fell short of expectations and as executives cut the company's outlook for the year. The sagging results reflected increasing choosiness among consumers as other retailers have struggled this earnings season.
Fed's preferred inflation gauge shows prices increased as expected
The latest reading of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge showed prices increased at a pace in line with Wall Street's expectations in July, reports Yahoo Finance's Josh Schafer.
The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, which strips out the cost of food and energy and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, rose 0.2 % from the prior month during July, in line with Wall Street's expectations for 0.2% and the 0.2% reading seen in June.
Over the prior year, prices rose 2.6% in July, matching June's annual increase and below analyst expectations for a 2.7% increase.
"No news is good news, said Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management Group. "The runway is all clear for the Fed to cut rates in September. The only question is if the cut will be 0.25 or 0.50."
The reading left expectations for the Fed's likely upcoming rate cut little changed. Market bets placed a roughly 70% chance of a 25 basis point cut, up from 66% a day ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
The report is the first look at inflation since Fed Chair Jerome Powell all but confirmed the Fed will cut rates in September. During a speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo, he said the "time has come for policy to adjust." Powell added that his confidence had "grown" that inflation is heading back to the Fed's 2% goal.
Stocks climb as inflation reading shows further progress
US stocks climbed at the open on Friday, moving to end the week and the month on a high note as the latest reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge bolstered rate-cut hopes.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained 0.5%, holding around the record close notched on Thursday, its third this week. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) popped roughly 0.2%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) jumped 0.8%.