Syrah Resources (ASX:SYR) shareholders have endured a 62% loss from investing in the stock three years ago
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Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. Long term Syrah Resources Limited (ASX:SYR) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 67% drop in the share price over that period. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 62% in a year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 31% in the last three months.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
View our latest analysis for Syrah Resources
Syrah Resources isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.
Over three years, Syrah Resources grew revenue at 50% per year. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. The share price has moved in quite the opposite direction, down 19% over that time, a bad result. It seems likely that the market is worried about the continual losses. When we see revenue growth, paired with a falling share price, we can't help wonder if there is an opportunity for those who are willing to dig deeper.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Syrah Resources' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Syrah Resources hasn't been paying dividends, but its TSR of -62% exceeds its share price return of -67%, implying it has either spun-off a business, or raised capital at a discount; thereby providing additional value to shareholders.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Syrah Resources had a tough year, with a total loss of 57%, against a market gain of about 13%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 9% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Syrah Resources better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Syrah Resources that you should be aware of.