TSMC Hikes Revenue Outlook in Show of Confidence in AI Boom

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(Bloomberg) -- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. raised its target for 2024 revenue growth after quarterly results beat estimates, allaying concerns about global chip demand and the sustainability of an AI hardware boom.

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The main chipmaker to Nvidia Corp. and Apple Inc. now expects sales to climb roughly 30% in US dollar terms this year, up from previous projections for about a mid-20% rise. That’s after TSMC reported better-than-predicted earnings for the September quarter. And it foresees capital expenditure rising in 2025 from roughly $30 billion this year.

TSMC’s outlook should help tamp down concerns that investors mis-judged the AI and semiconductor demand. Those fears crystallized after chip industry linchpin ASML Holding NV stunned markets by reporting about half the orders investors had expected. On Thursday, Chief Executive Officer C. C. Wei sought to dispel those doubts.

“The demand is real and I believe it’s just the beginning,” Wei said, echoing a number of executives including Nvidia’s CEO. In terms of overall chip demand, “everything’s stabilized and start to improve.”

Its American depositary receipts rose more than 6% in pre-market trading in New York. Nvidia’s stock gained about 2.5%. Shares of Japanese chip gear makers including Lasertec Corp. pared losses in Tokyo, while Infineon Technologies AG rose in Europe alongside sector peers.

TSMC’s shares have surged more than 70% this year, outpacing many of Asia’s biggest tech firms in a reflection of strong sales of the Nvidia chips vital to artificial intelligence development.

For a liveblog on TSMC’s earnings, click here.

Taiwan’s largest company had raised its outlook for 2024 revenue just a few months ago in July, underscoring expectations for spending on AI infrastructure from the likes of Microsoft Corp. and Amazon.com Inc. Steady adoption of artificial intelligence should also help fuel sales of iPhones and other gadgets in the long run.

Still, investors had watched for deviations in TSMC’s outlook after ASML blamed slower-than-expected recovery in the automotive, mobile and PC markets for stalling chip plant expansion plans. AI remains a bright spot, its executives said.

“TSMC is not just an AI machine,” said Ben Barringer, technology analyst at Quilter Cheviot. “They are much better positioned than both Intel and Samsung, which have had their own well-documented issues. TSMC has positioned itself well and should any real downturn hit the sector, it should be in a strong position to weather this and emerge in a good place.”