Why Are Analysts Bullish on Critical Metals Corp. (CRML)?

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We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Lithium and Battery Stocks to Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Critical Metals Corp. (NASDAQ:CRML) stands against the other lithium and battery stocks.

The pivotal role that lithium is playing in the market of batteries, solar panels, and chemicals has resulted in a surge in its global demand, and as such, the lithium market has seen quite a growth in recent years; the market is set to grow from $8.8 billion market size in 2023 to hit $28.45 billion mark in 2033, boasting a CAGR of 12.5%, according to Precedence Research.

On the other hand, the global electric vehicles market size is set to reach $1.579 trillion by 2030 from its market size of $500.48 billion in 2023. This is so because of improved fuel economy and costs, and more importantly, reduced emissions from electric vehicles. Furthermore, according to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) forecast, global electric car sales are set to grow to 17 million by the end of 2024 from its sales volume of almost 14 million in 2023, 95% of which belonged to China, U.S. and Europe; 65% of new electric cars’ registrations were made in China in 2023, while 25% and 10% registrations were made in Europe and China, respectively! On the back of this, lithium demand and hence, consumption, is set to soar 16% per annum to help it grow from 1,219kt lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in 2024 to 2,261kt LCE in 2029, according to Techopedia.

The EV batteries market, 95% of whose growth is accounted for by the electric cars market, saw its demand growing 40% in 2023 in relation to the 2022 demand level, wherein, it grew to 750 GWh. Regions like China, Europe, and the U.S. are again, the fastest growing in terms of EV battery sales as well, as the EV battery market reached 415 GWh, 185 GWh, and 100 GWh in the three regions, respectively, according to IEA.

In terms of regions that are topping the charts of lithium production, Australia, Chile, and China are the top three countries, with their 2023 mine productions standing at levels of 86,000 MT, 44,000 MT, and 33,000 MT, respectively. China, which has relied a lot on lithium imports, found a million metric ton lithium reserve in its province of Sichuan in January 2024.

However, lithium and EV battery industries have been experiencing a downhill in 2024 in terms of raw material prices, wherein, the excess supply has resulted in a fall in various battery metals’ prices, resulting in a reduction in EV prices as well. The average price of an EV in the U.S. saw a downtick of 24.2% in December 2023, as compared to its peak price in the second quarter of 2022. This is on the back of a drop in prices of the highest-cost metals – lithium and nickel. Lithium carbonate ended 2023 at the price level of $13,575 per metric ton, falling 80.9% as compared to its 2023 high, and 81.4% in relation to its 2022 high. Nickel, on the other hand, saw its price falling 47.3% from its 2023 high, ending 2023 at $16,375 per ton.