The United States economy is full of innovation. It has to be. Manufacturing industries that dominated the economy decades ago - textiles, televisions, even automobiles to a large degree - have moved overseas, where labor and materials costs are lower. Yet the U.S. economy, even during the pandemic and the current period of high inflation, has expanded to record levels. If U.S. corporations weren't innovating, creating new products (such as vaccines and AI) and services (such as Zoom calls) and moving into new markets, the domestic economy would not be growing, and capital would not be flooding into the country. The current high level of the U.S. dollar relative to currencies around the world attests to the confidence that global investors have in the durable and innovative U.S. economy.

The U.S. presidential election is just days away. Which candidate is better for the stock market? Surprisingly, we don't think it matters that much. This theory is backed up by historical data. Our review of presidential cycles reveals that the primary driver of stock success is market fundamentals - how well the economy is doing, if inflation is maintained at the low 2%-3% levels, if the labor market remains strong and unemployment doesn't creep up, and if interest rates are lower. This is the best case for stocks and outweighs whoever is in the White House. That said, there are some nuances and implications for individual sectors. For our list this week and next, we look at several sectors and how they might be impacted by America's choice for the next president. Below, we look at the Industrial and Financial sectors and how they might perform under either candidate.

JPMorgan Chase is one of world's largest diversified-banking firms. The company operates a leading global corporate and investment bank and is the second-largest mortgage originator in the United States, after Wells Fargo. JPMorgan Chase also operates a large retail-banking network and is a leading credit card issuer.

Stock investors looking for good news today have plenty of options. Banks earnings are generally coming in better than expected. Economic data released today suggested ongoing progress is being made on taming inflation. And just for fun, JPMorgan tied its solid earnings report in part to the likelihood that an economic 'soft landing' will indeed be achieved.