Markets are flat at midday, though the Nasdaq is making a push higher. Calm waters on a Monday feels good after last week's turbulence. It is a busy week. On Wednesday, CPI data comes out. We see July matching June. That's 3.0% for overall inflation and 3.1% for Core inflation, which takes out energy and food prices. Thursday will be important for signals on how consumers are holding up. Retail Sales data is due and earnings from mega-giant retailer, Walmart.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Stocks closed lower on Thursday. The Dow fell 330 points after Wednesday's 400 point drop, dragged down by Salesforce (CRM, -19.7%). Shares of Trump Media and Technology Group (DJT) are down 6% in after hours following Trump's conviction news. The S&P 500 was down 0.6% and the Nasdaq fell 1.1%.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Bumps in the Soft Landing

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Stocks rose again on Wednesday morning as investors weighed new retail sales and producer price data, along with strong earnings from Target. The Commerce Department said that U.S. retail sales fell 0.1% in October after a revised 0.9% increase in September. The Reuters consensus forecast had called for a decline of 0.3%. Meanwhile, producer prices pointed to continued progress on inflation. The Labor Department said that its producer price index for final demand fell 0.5% in October, the largest decrease since April 2020, after a 0.4% increase a month earlier. The Dow rose 0.3%, the S&P 0.2%, and the Nasdaq 0.2%. Crude oil fell nearly 2% to $77 per barrel, while gold traded near $1965 per ounce.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

As of the close on September 11, the S&P 500 (SPX), the Nasdaq, and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) had all regained their 50-day averages. All three lost the 50-day in mid-August and again last week, so it is encouraging that these major indices are putting up a stand around the key average. At the same time, the three majors remain above their August lows and the pullback has turned into a sideways battle, with a lower high and a higher low in place.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Stocks rallied on Friday morning following the passage of the debt ceiling bill in the Senate late Thursday and a stronger-than-expected May employment report. The Labor Department said that the U.S. economy added 339,000 nonfarm payroll jobs last month, up from a revised 294,000 in April and well above the Reuters consensus forecast of 190,000. However, the unemployment rate rose to 3.7% from 3.4%, and growth in average hourly earnings slowed slightly from April. The Dow rose 1.5%, the S&P 1.2%, and the Nasdaq 0.9%. Crude oil rose 2% to $71.50 per barrel, while gold fell $13 to $1983 per ounce.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Monday Tee Up: Heavy on Earnings, Light on the Economy

Stocks pared early losses on Thursday, but still finished in negative territory. Investors weighed earnings reports from major retailers and tech companies, along with new housing market and employment data. Housing starts fell a sharp 4.2% to an annualized 1.425 million in October, but topped the consensus forecast. Building permits fell 2.4% to 1.526 million, also above consensus. On the employment front, first-time claims for state unemployment benefits rose by 4,000 to 222,000 for the week ended November 12, below the consensus forecast. Continuing claims rose slightly from the prior week to 1.507 million. The Dow fell 0.02%, the S&P 0.31%, and the Nasdaq 0.35%. Crude oil fell 4% to $82 per barrel, while gold fell $13 to $1763 per ounce.

Stocks rose strongly on Wednesday morning as investors weighed earnings reports from AMD, Starbucks, and CVS along with new U.S. service sector data. The Institute for Supply Management said that its nonmanufacturing index rose to 56.7 in July, up from 55.3 in June and above the Reuters consensus forecast of 53.5. The reading marked the first increase after three straight monthly declines. The Dow rose 0.9%, the S&P 0.9%, and the Nasdaq 1.8%. Crude oil fell 2% to $92 per barrel, while gold fell $19 to $1771 per ounce.

Stocks were mixed on Tuesday morning. Cryptos are lower, with Bitcoin down 5.54% over the last 24 hours and Ethereum down 2.24%. Markets are increasingly expecting a 75 basis point hike from the conclusion of the Fed meeting tomorrow. The Producer Price Index was in line with estimates with a monthly rise of 0.8% as prices moderated on a year-over-year basis to a rate of 10.8%. The Dow fell 0.4%, the S&P fell 0.1%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.3%. Crude oil rose to $123 per barrel, while gold fell $17 to $1814 per ounce.

The stock market continues to be battered and we have finally reached the white-knuckle point of the decline, with Russia's actions in Ukraine adding to the mix. While there was little evidence of panic on Wednesday (such as we saw in the latter part of January), results for NYSE decliners versus advancers and NYSE up volume versus total volume were well ahead the levels of just a few weeks ago. Based on the charts of the indices, we could get another dose of "throw in the towel" trading action.

Stocks rose strongly on Friday morning, led by the Technology and Communication Services sectors, after recovering from sharp early losses. But there were more signs of accelerating inflation. The Commerce Department said that its personal consumption expenditures index rose 5.8% from the prior year in December, up from 5.7% growth in November and in line with the Bloomberg consensus forecast. The Dow rose 0.5%, the S&P 1.2%, and the Nasdaq 2.0%. Crude oil rose more than 1% to $88 per barrel, while gold traded near $1786 per ounce.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

The market ain't afraida' no ghosts, and stocks sailed into Halloween weekend flying high on a witch's broom. The S&P 500, assigned to Dracula's coffin in September, rose up to reach an all-time intra-day high at 4,608 on October 29 before finishing the session an all-time closing high of 4,605.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Stocks were mixed on Tuesday morning amid uncertainty about the economic impact of the Delta variant. Factory order data showed slower growth but still topped the consensus forecast. The Commerce Department said that U.S. factory orders rose 1.5% in June, above the Reuters consensus of 1.0% but down from 2.3% growth in May. The Dow rose 0.2%, the S&P fell 0.1%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.6%. Crude oil traded near $70 per barrel, while gold fell $8 to $1814 per ounce.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

April 2021 lived up to its billing as the best stock month of the first half. During April, the S&P 500 appreciated 5.2%, better than any month so far this year; March was closest with a 4.2% gain. Through the end of the fourth month, the S&P 500 is up 11.3% year-to-date.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Stocks rallied strongly on Tuesday morning on signs that the Biden administration and Congressional Democrats would move forward quickly on their $1.9 trillion stimulus plan, rather than opt for a smaller plan like that proposed by Republican senators. On the earnings front, UPS shares rose after the company posted stronger-than-expected 4Q results. Investors also looked ahead to earnings from Alphabet and Amazon after the close. The Dow rose 2.0%, the S&P 1.7%, and the Nasdaq 1.4%. Crude oil traded near $55 per barrel, while gold fell $22 to $1840 per ounce.

Growth stocks outperformed value, again, in 2020. But in an environment of historically low interest rates (and with the coronavirus and a high unemployment rate seemingly poised to keep them low for a long time), many investors are searching for high levels of income, often be found in value stocks. During recent years, the performance record has favored growth. Since 2010, the Russell 1000 Growth Index has climbed more than 400%, compared to an advance of 200% for the Russell 1000 Value Index. In eight of the past 10 years, growth stocks topped value. That hasn't always been the case. In the previous decade, including the Great Recession, value stocks were better performers, advancing a low 8%, but still better than growth, which declined 15%. Value investors trace their roots to the famous "Security Analysis" textbook, written by Ben Graham, an economics professor at Columbia University. The tide may now be turning. Progress on COVID-19 vaccines has given a lift to some of the cyclical companies (energy companies and banks) that have lagged in recent quarters, and value stocks have kept pace with growth stocks in the past quarter. In any event, value is the place to achieve income. The current yield on the iShares Russell 1000 Value Index ETF is 2.5%, compared to the 1.0% current yield on the iShares Russell 1000 Growth Index ETF. This is not unimportant, as the current yield on the 10-year Treasury bond is 0.95%. For our list this week, we have screened our coverage universe for stocks that are BUY-rated by Argus Research analysts, have a Financial Strength rating of at least Medium, and have a yield of 3.0% or higher.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.

Growth stocks may be outperforming value, again, in 2020. But in an environment of historically low interest rates (and with the coronavirus and economic shutdown seemingly poised to keep them low for a long time), many investors are still searching for high levels of income, which can often be found in value stocks. Progress on COVID-19 vaccines has given a lift to some of the cyclical companies (energy companies and regional banks) that have lagged in recent quarters, and value stocks have kept up the pace with growth stocks in the past quarter. The current yield on the iShares Russell 1000 Value Index ETF is 2.5%, compared to the 1.0% current yield on the iShares Russell 1000 Growth Index ETF. This is not unimportant, as the current yield on the 10-year Treasury bond is 0.95%.

This pick list highlights constituents of the Morningstar US Large Cap Index that we believe offer investors the best risk-adjusted return prospects. Stocks of large-cap companies where neither growth nor value characteristics predominate. Stocks in the top 70% of the capitalization of the U.S. equity market are defined as large cap.