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A week ago, BRAIN Biotech AG (ETR:BNN) came out with a strong set of full-year numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. BRAIN Biotech beat expectations with revenues of €56m arriving 3.5% ahead of forecasts. The company also reported a statutory loss of €0.38, 7.1% smaller than was expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on BRAIN Biotech after the latest results.
Check out our latest analysis for BRAIN Biotech
After the latest results, the four analysts covering BRAIN Biotech are now predicting revenues of €61.0m in 2024. If met, this would reflect a solid 8.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Losses are supposed to decline, shrinking 15% from last year to €0.32. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €66.2m and losses of €0.19 per share in 2024. So it's pretty clear the analysts have mixed opinions on BRAIN Biotech after this update; revenues were downgraded and per-share losses expected to increase.
The average price target fell 8.2% to €11.23, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for BRAIN Biotech's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on BRAIN Biotech, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €15.00 and the most bearish at €5.10 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of BRAIN Biotech'shistorical trends, as the 8.6% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 10% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 2.9% annually. So it's pretty clear that BRAIN Biotech is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.