Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited (TSE:CTC.A), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the TSX. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading around its 52-week high. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Canadian Tire Corporation’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Canadian Tire Corporation

Is Canadian Tire Corporation Still Cheap?

Canadian Tire Corporation appears to be overvalued by 35% at the moment, based on our discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at CA$153 on the market compared to our intrinsic value of CA$112.99. Not the best news for investors looking to buy! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Canadian Tire Corporation’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Canadian Tire Corporation?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Canadian Tire Corporation's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 90%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in CTC.A’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe CTC.A should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CTC.A for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for CTC.A, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.