Companies Like Serko (NZSE:SKO) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Serko (NZSE:SKO) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for Serko

Does Serko Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In March 2024, Serko had NZ$81m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through NZ$5.5m. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from March 2024. Notably, however, analysts think that Serko will break even (at a free cash flow level) before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NZSE:SKO Debt to Equity History July 13th 2024

How Well Is Serko Growing?

Serko managed to reduce its cash burn by 85% over the last twelve months, which suggests it's on the right flight path. Pleasingly, this was achieved with the help of a 48% boost to revenue. Overall, we'd say its growth is rather impressive. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can Serko Raise More Cash Easily?

While Serko seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Serko has a market capitalisation of NZ$433m and burnt through NZ$5.5m last year, which is 1.3% of the company's market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.