Earnings growth outpaced the 24% return delivered to Madison Square Garden Sports (NYSE:MSGS) shareholders over the last year

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On average, over time, stock markets tend to rise higher. This makes investing attractive. But if you choose that path, you're going to buy some stocks that fall short of the market. For example, the Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (NYSE:MSGS), share price is up over the last year, but its gain of 24% trails the market return. Having said that, the longer term returns aren't so impressive, with stock gaining just 16% in three years.

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

Check out our latest analysis for Madison Square Garden Sports

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Madison Square Garden Sports was able to grow EPS by 29% in the last twelve months. This EPS growth is significantly higher than the 24% increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market isn't as excited about Madison Square Garden Sports as it was before. This could be an opportunity. Of course, with a P/E ratio of 88.54, the market remains optimistic.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:MSGS Earnings Per Share Growth October 6th 2024

We know that Madison Square Garden Sports has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

A Different Perspective

Madison Square Garden Sports provided a TSR of 24% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 4% per year over five year. It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Madison Square Garden Sports (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

We will like Madison Square Garden Sports better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.