Horace Mann announces preliminary results for second-quarter and full-year 2024 guidance revision

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P&C profitability restoration and sales growth momentum underscore continued confidence in reaching a 10% return on equity in 2025

SPRINGFIELD, Ill., July 25, 2024--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Horace Mann Educators Corporation (NYSE:HMN) today announced it expects full-year 2024 core EPS in the range of $2.40 to $2.70, including second-quarter core EPS in the range of $0.18 to $0.20. The second-quarter results and full-year guidance revision is largely due to lower-than-expected net investment income, primarily from valuation adjustments in the company’s commercial mortgage loan fund portfolio.

"We continue to make progress toward our objective of a double-digit return on equity in 2025 through executing on our multi-year Property & Casualty restoration strategy and driving profitable growth across the business," said Horace Mann President and CEO Marita Zuraitis. "In the second quarter, we saw double-digit sales growth in our auto, property, life, worksite direct and employer-sponsored business lines. Notably, P&C sales increased more than 30%, which provides strong momentum entering the back-to-school season.

"Our $7 billion investment portfolio continues to benefit from a higher interest rate environment, with new money yields in the core portfolio exceeding book yield by 163 basis points at the end of the second quarter," Zuraitis continued. "In the first half of 2024, we recorded lower-than-expected income in the Life & Retirement segment due to mark-to-market valuation adjustments on several commercial mortgage loan funds. These valuation adjustments occur on a one-quarter lag and have not impacted cash returns, which are performing in line with expectations with cash yields of about 7.5%. However, as a result, we expect second-quarter Life & Retirement segment earnings comparable to first quarter, and full-year earnings in the range of $50 to $56 million."

Property & Casualty segment earnings guidance was narrowed slightly to a range of $36 million to $39 million. Second-quarter catastrophe losses are expected to be between $40 million to $42 million, pretax, or approximately 23 points on the combined ratio. Second-quarter catastrophe losses typically account for about half of the company’s full-year catastrophe load.

The company expects a net Property & Casualty reserve release of $5 million to $6 million of favorable prior year development, the majority of which is related to auto liability and physical damage claims from accident year 2023.

In addition, as a result of continued lower-than-expected benefits utilization realized in the second quarter, the company has increased its full-year estimate for earnings in the Supplemental & Group Benefits segment to the range of $49 million to $52 million.