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The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European markets opened higher on Monday before wobbling, following a dip last week where investors took profits off the table. Concerns have set in since president-elect Donald Trump's win in the US, as traders look to implications of a potential trade war and inflationary policies possibly changing the Federal Reserve rate cut path.
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The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) had risen 0.1% by noon. Aerospace manufacturer Melrose Industries (MRO.L) led the index higher, up as much as 8% following a mixed earnings report.
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Melrose said that revenue had grown 7%, but that it was experiencing supply chain issues when obtaining some key parts. The company expects its cashflow situation to improve in 2025.
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"The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) is now up by 4.5% so far this year and the FTSE 250 (^FTMC) 4.2%, with gains from earlier in the year having been eclipsed by the rush for growth stocks in other jurisdictions, most notably with investors looking to ride the coattails of the technology surge in the US and more latterly chasing the Trump trade," said Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor.
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The DAX (^GDAXI) in Germany fell 0.4%, and the CAC 40 (^FCHI) in Paris declined 0.4% after European Central Bank policymaker Gabriel Makhlouf urged caution in the bloc's approach to rate cuts. The vice-president of the bank, Luis de Guindos also said on Monday that the concerns have shifted from inflation to growth.
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Stocks fell across the world last week as investors absorbed US Fed chair Jerome Powell's signal that the Federal Reserve won't hurry to make interest-rate cuts.
Boohoo raises cash
Another update from the fast fashion trenches from Vicky McKeever:
Shares in fast fashion retailer Boohoo Group were muted on Monday morning, after the company announced that it had completed a fundraising.
Boohoo said it had raised a total of £39.3m, which included nearly £400,000 in a retail offer of its shares.
AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould pointed out that the firm had offered up to £6m worth of shares, but with order of £388,508, this represented just 6.5% of the available stock.
“The general public didn’t fancy dressing up their investment portfolio with Boohoo shares, judging by the shocking take-up of the company’s retail share offering," he said. "While institutional investors were keen to buy more stock, the retail component fell flat on its face."
“Retail investors might have been turned off by the stock being priced at a premium to the market value at the time of the fundraise," Mould said. He explained that share placings at a premium "aren’t that common, certainly not with a company going through a bad patch such as Boohoo".
Last week, Boohoo reported revenue in the first half of the year had fallen 15% to nearly £620m, compared with the same period last year. The company posted a 19% fall in gross profit to £314.4m.
Boohoo has been embroiled in a public feud with Mike Ashley's Fraser Group, after the retail mogul requested to be installed as the company's CEO.
Last wee, in a circular to investors, Boohoo said Ashley was "not a suitable appointment" to its board.
How US stocks are faring in early trade
Is market overreacting to last week's UK GDP print?
Enrique Diaz-Alvarez, chief economist at global financial technology firm Ebury, said:
And here are the charts for that
Crude oil prices firmer... but just watch OPEC+
David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation said:
"Crude oil was a touch firmer in early trade this morning. Prices turned up after front-month WTI approached $66.50, a level which acted as support on a couple of occasions last month.
"But it’s probably wise not to read too much into early price action. Fundamentally, every indication suggests that supply is plentiful. OPEC+ has spare capacity, as it continues to impose production cuts which are set to run until the end of this year.
"With prices hovering below $70 per barrel, the probability is that these cuts continue into 2025. If not, and in the absence of some major supply disruption, either in the Middle East, or more likely Russia and Ukraine, given Russia’s huge drone attack over the weekend, and the Biden administration’s decision to loosen restrictions on Ukraine responding, then oil prices will come under even greater downside pressure, particularly if US producers respond to President-elect Trump’s call to: ’Drill baby, drill!’ Meanwhile, the global demand outlook keeps getting revised downwards, thanks mainly to China’s economic issues."
Gold prices head higher
Pedro Goncalves writes:
Gold prices saw a modest uptick on Monday, following a sharp decline last week, as the dollar’s recent rally faltered. Traders are now looking ahead to remarks from Federal Reserve officials later this week for further direction on the US interest rate outlook.
Spot gold rose marginally by 0.1% to $2,588.28 per ounce, while US gold futures edged 0.6% higher to $2,586.30 at the time of writing.
The increase comes after the US dollar index (DX-Y.NYB), which surged 1.6% last week, pulled back slightly, easing pressure on gold. A weaker dollar tends to make gold more affordable for holders of other currencies, supporting demand for the precious metal.
Gold prices have struggled to break through the key $2,600 level since last week, with market participants factoring in expectations of a more cautious pace of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
This slump comes after a strong rally over the past year, with gold gaining nearly 30% in value and reaching an all-time high of $2,790.15 in late October, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainties.
UK consumer confidence slips in November
The latest S&P Global reading has shown consumer sentiment slipping in the UK, as job security dips and strains remain on household finances.
“A key concern going forward will be the labour market. Rising incomes and busier workplaces have underpinned much of the improvement in consumer sentiment over the past two years, but job security is showing signs of waning," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.
"Any intensification of job worries, spurred perhaps the recent measures announced in the Budget, including higher employer National Insurance contributions, could result in a further loss of consumer confidence. This would likely in turn hit consumer spending and economic growth."
The headline CSI, a combination of survey gauges tracking consumer financial wellbeing, labour market conditions, household spending, savings and debt, fell from 47.3 in October to 46.9 in November. Although below the neutral 50-point mark, November’s reading is the third-highest since August 2021, exceeded only by October’s reading and July’s post-general election bounce.
Shein eyes 2025 IPO
Singapore-based clothing manufacturer Shein is targeting next year for a public listing, according to a report in The Times, in a deal that could value the retailer at $50bn.
The investor roadshow is expected before the end of the year, with its IPO prospectus to follow.
The Times also reported the cheap sartorial purveyor will list in London, after it scoped out the US and was told by the SEC the application would have to be submitted as a public filing.
JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley have been brought in as advisors.
Trump trades drop off
Richard Hunter, head of markets at interactive investor, said:
Overnight in Asia
Asian stocks lost steam slightly in trading hours on Monday, after jumping following a plea from China's securities regulator that listed companies should boost returns on their stocks.
The CSI 300 (000300.SS) was 0.6% lower by the end of the session, while the Hang Seng (^HSI) in Hong Kong closed 0.8% higher.
Over in Japan, the Nikkei (^N225) lost 1.1% as tech shares followed the Nasdaq lower after a drop on Friday.
Average UK house prices drop by £5,366 as post-budget jitters set in
Data shows the average price of a UK property coming to market is down 1.8% this month, or the equivalent of a £5,366 discount, as the cost of a home swoops to £366,592.
This marks the second month of higher than average declines on the trot, with the usual drop seen at this time of year being 0.8%, according to property portal Rightmove.
Last month’s pre-budget jitters have turned into post-budget disappointment, creating new challenges for the housing market, and appear to have caused a larger-than-normal seasonal slowdown in pricing as we head towards Christmas, Rightmove said.
Despite the budget, activity remains stronger than last year due to optimism around the interest rate cut path, which is feeding through to mortgage rates. Due to this, following analysis of real-time data, Rightmove has forecast a 4% increase in average new seller asking prices next year.
How US stocks are faring in premarket
US stock futures were mixed on Monday, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 looking set to recoup some losses.
Friday trade in the US
From our US team:
US stocks sank on Friday, recording steep weekly losses as investors absorbed Chair Jerome Powell's signal that the Federal Reserve won't hurry to make interest-rate cuts.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) dropped 1.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) slid 0.7%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led declines, falling 2.2%.
Powell's hawkish comments are casting a pall on markets as the initial optimism for President-elect Donald Trump's policies starts to wear off. The S&P has already reversed one-third of its post-election rally, and the Nasdaq logged a weekly loss of over 3%.
Retail sales data released on Friday reflected continued resilience in the American consumer, a sign of the economic strength Powell suggested would allow the Fed to take its time. October sales rose 0.4% month on month, versus 0.3% expected, including a revision higher for September's reading to 0.8% from 0.4%.
Good morning!
Hello from London. Lucy Harley-McKeown here, ready to bring you the latest news from markets. Let's get to it.