No interest rate cut till 2025, predicts City bank

The Bank of England will not cut interest rates until February 2025, according to Bank of America
The Bank of England will not cut interest rates until February 2025, according to Bank of America - HENRY NICHOLLS/AFP via Getty Images

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The Bank of England will not cut interest rates next year, City economists have predicted, as inflation is expected to remain persistently high.

Policymakers will not be able to reduce rates from their 15-year highs of 5.25pc until 2025, according to forecasters at Bank of America.

Money markets think that the Bank of England will begin cutting interest rates by June next year after inflation fell by more than expected to 4.6pc in October.

The Bank’s chief economist Huw Pill said earlier this month that investors would not be “unreasonable” to expect cuts by the summer, while investment bank Goldman Sachs said last week that the first cuts could come as soon as February.

The decline in the pace of price rises has emboldened Rishi Sunak today to say that he Government is now in a position to start cutting taxes.

However, Bank of America thinks mortgage holders will have to wait until February 2025 for a first reduction in borrowing costs, with rates to come down by a full percentage point to 4.25pc during the year.

However in a note to clients, Agne Stengeryte rates strategist Agne Stengeryte warned: “We see a tougher UK inflation outlook then the Bank of England and forecast the first cut in February 2025.”

Read the latest updates below.


06:02 PM GMT

Wrapping up

Thanks for joining us today. My colleague Chris Price will be back in the morning with the latest from the markets and the world of business. I’ll leave you with a couple of the latest business articles from The Telegraph today:


05:28 PM GMT

Copper rises as commodity markets gain greater optimism

The price of copper rose 2pc, to 8,432.00 a ton, on the London Metal Exchange today, as commodities markets reflected the expectations that interest rates have peaked and that demand from China’s construction industry would rebound.

The movement follows copper rising 2.9pc last week. The commodity is now at its highest level for 10 weeks.


05:02 PM GMT

FTSE 100 down, FTSE 250 up at market close

FTSE 100 close down 0.11pc at 7,496.36, while the FTSE 250 rose 0.17pc to 18,599.05.

The biggest stock rise was Diploma, which rose 11.19pc. Diploma sells equipment, consumables and instrumentation for hospitals and other industries. The shares rose after the firm reported “strong organic growth” of 8pc.

The biggest decline was seen in the shares of the international equipment rental company Ashtead Group, which cut its profit guidance, saying that there was lower demand for its emergency response products. It also reported that its film and television production division has been affected adversely by strikes in north America. It closed 10.49pc down.