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Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Michael Hill International Limited (ASX:MHJ) shareholders, since the share price is down 48% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 23%. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 38% lower in that time. On the other hand the share price has bounced 6.1% over the last week.
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Michael Hill International
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over the three years that the share price declined, Michael Hill International's earnings per share (EPS) dropped significantly, falling to a loss. Due to the loss, it's not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to the business. But it's safe to say we'd generally expect the share price to be lower as a result!
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
Dive deeper into Michael Hill International's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Michael Hill International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
Investors should note that there's a difference between Michael Hill International's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Michael Hill International shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 38%, over the last 3 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Michael Hill International had a tough year, with a total loss of 37%, against a market gain of about 21%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.8% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Before spending more time on Michael Hill International it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.