Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Kidpik Corp. (NASDAQ:PIK) Shares Dive 29%

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Kidpik Corp. (NASDAQ:PIK) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Kidpik's P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in the United States is about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Kidpik

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:PIK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 17th 2023

What Does Kidpik's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Kidpik over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kidpik's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Kidpik's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.3%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 7.8% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 6.2% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Kidpik is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Kidpik's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Kidpik looks to be in line with the rest of the Specialty Retail industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.