On multiple occasions, former President Donald Trump has suggested that he would contest the 2024 election results if he didn't win, according to a report from the New York Times.

Strategy Risks Founder and CEO Isaac Stone Fish joins Asking For A Trend to give insight into the possible scenarios of what would happen with China if the US presidential election does not have a smooth conclusion.

Stone Fish argues that a distracted, leaderless America could open the door for China to invade Taiwan. He puts the odds at about "10 or 20%" over the next six months, "but it would be such a catastrophic even that it would reshape global markets. Stone Fish says that China now has the capability to invade Taiwan, but "the biggest reason why they wouldn't, as far as we can tell, is that the United States would step in and would defend Taiwan and then that would almost certainly be World War Three, which is a major, major decision for any polity to make. But if the United States is distracted or even worse, seems like it's leaderless, it could be a very good time for Beijing to act."

For more expert insight and the latest market action, click here to watch this full episode of Asking for a Trend.

This post was written by Nicholas Jacobino